Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.045255 0.051982 0.058983 0.066782 0.075195 0.083970 0.093785
2025-04-20 0.036895 0.047069 0.058311 0.071506 0.086427 0.102643 0.121470
2025-04-27 0.028130 0.039726 0.053276 0.069926 0.089498 0.111476 0.137724
2025-05-04 0.023893 0.036745 0.052459 0.072458 0.096650 0.124449 0.158300
2025-05-11 0.019312 0.032541 0.049494 0.071833 0.099603 0.132202 0.172599
2025-05-18 0.016723 0.030510 0.048896 0.073812 0.105453 0.143203 0.190600
2025-05-25 0.014424 0.028516 0.048054 0.075244 0.110452 0.153076 0.207213
2025-06-01 0.011401 0.024985 0.044751 0.073139 0.110735 0.157006 0.216535
2025-06-08 0.008981 0.021969 0.041833 0.071256 0.111066 0.160818 0.225580
2025-06-15 0.007896 0.020978 0.041716 0.073103 0.116192 0.170592 0.241953
2025-06-22 0.006725 0.019630 0.040920 0.073891 0.119844 0.178474 0.255988
2025-06-29 0.006228 0.019452 0.041880 0.077159 0.126826 0.190631 0.275417
2025-07-06 0.004967 0.017642 0.040264 0.076838 0.129236 0.197347 0.288641
2025-07-13 0.004759 0.018013 0.042248 0.081933 0.139240 0.214123 0.314881
2025-07-20 0.003536 0.015839 0.039771 0.080199 0.139700 0.218426 0.325312
2025-07-27 0.003106 0.015423 0.040260 0.082954 0.146444 0.231014 0.346384
2025-08-03 0.002346 0.013901 0.038615 0.082274 0.148243 0.237016 0.359000
2025-08-10 0.001994 0.013403 0.038786 0.084428 0.154092 0.248437 0.378658
2025-08-17 0.001641 0.012764 0.038615 0.085985 0.159059 0.258683 0.396829
2025-08-24 0.001076 0.011076 0.036187 0.083695 0.158281 0.261074 0.404685
2025-08-31 0.000669 0.009613 0.034001 0.081645 0.157737 0.263700 0.412796
2025-09-07 0.000537 0.009297 0.034213 0.083656 0.163269 0.274679 0.431964
2025-09-14 0.000385 0.008721 0.033782 0.084513 0.167042 0.283242 0.447964